Friday, September 26, 2008

America has no leadership

As I watch the events unfolding in Washington I’m reminded of a recent quote about leadership vs. management…

"There is a profound difference between management and leadership, and both are important. To manage means to bring about, to accomplish, to have charge of or responsibility for, to conduct. Leading is influencing, guiding in a direction, course, action, opinion. The distinction is crucial"

There is simply no leadership in Washington. A recent quote by Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher said:

"The seizures and convulsions we have experienced in the debt and equity markets have been the consequences of a sustained orgy of excess and reckless behavior, not a too-tight monetary policy,"

It is simply disgusting that over the last few years $60 billion dollars (almost 1/10th of the suggested bailout plan) has been paid out as Executive bonuses. All based on nothing more than thin air.

Now we see Paulson and Bernanke try to slip in a quick fix all based on a 3 page memo. What a total crock. This is what caused the problem in the first place. 3 pages don’t even begin to describe the depth of the problem.

Neither Paulson, Bernanke, Pelosi, Bush or any of the other individuals in Washington are exhibiting any signs of real leadership. They have presided over essentially another Depression. And in return for this they want the American taxpayer to cough up $2,300 bucks each to make the problem go away. Only one minor nit – there is no plan.

WTF is going on here. Can you imagine Buffet signing up for a deal like this. Where’s the upside for the taxpayer? This is just like a startup which has burned through millions and millions of dollars going back to investors for a “quick fix” injection of capital. I guarantee you wouldn’t get the deal done with a 3 page memo and no upside for the investors. Why should this bailout be different from that.

No – America simply has no leadership. There is no one at the top worth following anymore. It’s a very sad day, and one that will be pivotal as we go forward.  

Monday, September 22, 2008

How Congress Intends To Waste $1.8 Trillion

If your interested in your financial future you need to be reading this guys blog and later on using his list of senators to send them an email ask what the hell is going on in Washington. By the look of the Dow today lot’s of uncertainty still out there.

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: How Congress Intends To Waste $1.8 Trillion

Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Trillions

A great graphic.

In October 2007 these companies had a vale of $19.1 trillion

On September 12th 2008 they had a value of $15.1 trillion

Total loss = $4 trillion dollars

Brilliant minds, all totally convinced that they had a "durable competitive advantage" when in reality they had financially engineered themselves into a hole.

It's not over yet - we still have some house cleaning to do - however the core is still whole, the nonsense will sort itself out and we can turn to building real value and solving customer problem that they're willing to pay for.

A great lesson for all - if you miss it, don't worry it will be back dressed up as something new in about 5 years time. 

A Year of Heavy Losses - Interactive Graphic - NYTimes.com

Wall Street

As the financial markets continue to come under incredible pressure it should remind us (entrepreneurs) that the key to a successful future is the ability to create value that solves a customer problem as opposed to financial engineering that resembles a silicone implant. Great to look at until it goes bad.

Wall Street took financial engineering and made it a science, unfortunately the formulae finally ran out of steam. Let that be a lesson to all - ultimately it's about value - create it and you're golden, destroy it and your cast to the winds. Now we're seeing just that.

The good news is that this to shall pass. Right now the fed is laying down fire breaks which continually get broken - wait until they start to hold and then know that we are turning the corner.

Until then fire season is still in full swing.

Sunday, September 14, 2008

The advertising equivalence principle?

Every Web 2.0 - "our business model is supported via advertising" needs to read this post by a VC.

Bottom line - 8 billion page views a month, 300m unique visitors might get you to $100m a year in revenue.

Can your startup get there when the competition is exactly one click away?

The advertising equivalence principle? « Laserlike

Saturday, September 13, 2008

Why iPhone is an unreliable platform

Normally I don't agree with Dave, however this time he's right.

Here's the gist of his argument... the italics are my emphasis.

It's pretty simple, Apple could decide not to approve the app, and if they don't approve it you can't sell it. You can't even give it away. You don't find out if you've been approved until the last step, after you've fully invested, which you could lose, totally, if Apple says no. 

At first this might have seemed ridiculous if you didn't know Apple, you might assume they'd only keep out app's that somehow damaged the iPhone, but it hasn't turned out that way.  

Yesterday it came out that they rejected an app called Podcaster because it competed with iTunes, an Apple product. Maybe it was better than iTunes in some way, or simpler, more focused, had features iTunes didn't have? It doesn't matter, it illustrates exactly why Apple shouldn't assume this power, or if they insist on it, you'd have to be crazy to develop iPhone app's.  

Consider this possibility. Next year Apple announces an app that does what your previously authorized iPhone app does. You have competition, so another competitor, even if it is the platform vendor, isn't that big a deal, right? Well what if they de-authorize your app because it duplicates functionality of theirs? Think you could live with that?

Why iPhone is an unreliable platform (Scripting News)

Friday, September 12, 2008

From Roadkill to Resurrection: Lessons Learned From A Failed Entrepreneur

A must read.

From Roadkill to Resurrection: Lessons Learned From A Failed Entrepreneur

Yahoo Blueprint - I think not

The claim...

Marco Boerries, executive VP of Yahoo Connected Life said…

"Now with one click, you can write once and have mobile services run across a critical mass of devices and operating systems, potentially reaching millions of users,"

 

Nonsense! We're still waiting for Java to solve that problem.

So what's the real problem here?

Only when browsers, widget and cross platform tools allow access to commonly used phone features will they become useful for the majority rather than minority of applications.

And that problem has been solved (link) And why is it so important to solve that problem? So you can extend current Web services down to the mobile device with very little effort. Once an Enterprise can manage it's data across ALL devices then the opportunities for monetization really open up.

An idea of mine

A quote from a Nobel prize winner:

“It reminds me of what the beaver told the rabbit as they stood at the base of Hoover Dam: ‘No, I didn’t build it myself, but it’s based on an idea of mine.’”

Charles Townes, who won the Nobel Prize in 1964

It's important to remember that others are sometimes equally as responsible for seeing an idea succeed as you are for inventing it.

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Google Mobile App for BlackBerry: faster, stronger, better

I don't get it. Google release a mobile app that does search and a few other things.

I thought that's what the browser was for?

Official Google Mobile Blog: Google Mobile App for BlackBerry: faster, stronger, better

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Quote of the day - a lesson for all Entrepreneurs

“One of my biggest mistakes was falling in love with being right instead of being effective.”

Remember it's all about execution and outcomes - activities don't count!

Tuesday, September 09, 2008

Condition A

Last Friday I found out that my father had died. Normally this is quite a shock to the system. In my case I found out that he had actually died on September 24th 2007 and had asked his wife to not notify the kids (I have a sister). She had stuck by his wishes and I eventually found out via a rumor which I confirmed by calling the local airport where he used to fly (we're both pilots) and learned of the truth.

I won't go into all the personal details - death is final and he's moved on, hopefully to a better place and one where he is at peace.

The following article comes from the New York Times and is about a former English professor turned nurse who now deals with death on a daily basis. Condition A talks about one of her patients and is particularly poignant after my recent experience. There's a quote in the article from John Donne:

Death be not proud, though some have called thee

Mighty and dreadful, for thou art not so.

Which is followed by the authors take:

What can one do? Go home, love your children, try not to bicker, eat well, walk in the rain, feel the sun on your face and laugh loud and often, as much as possible, and especially at yourself. Because the only antidote to death is not poetry, or drama, or miracle drugs, or a roomful of technical expertise and good intentions. The antidote to death is life.

She's right - the antidote to death is life - remember that each day as you get caught in all the nonsense going on in the world. Try and find a few moments each day to hug your kids, walk in the rain and feel the sun on your face. The planet really is a beautiful place and life is worth living.

Perhaps Death Is Proud; All the More Reason to Savor Life

Monday, September 08, 2008

Click Investment

Interesting term that I came across today. It relates to mobile and asks the mobile web designer to think in terms of "click investment" as they design the mobile page.

My rule of thumb is that you have exactly three clicks to get to relevant content and no more than 2 seconds to download the correct data (this implies that you keep the page around 10,000 bytes and use real time content acceleration like mod_gzip

A Web OS? Are You Dense?

This guy gets it - doesn't mince words and dials it with his post. People are divided into two camps on this topic... either Web (Cloud) centric or Desktop centric.

The answer lies somewhere between the two. The catalyst for this is mobile which is perfectly designed for "nuggets of data" which are easily mined from either a single or multiple web service(s).

A Web OS? Are You Dense? - Ted Dziuba

Saturday, September 06, 2008

Businesses Can't Hide From 2.0

Great article - only missing one thing - exactly how does this integrate with Mobile?

Where's the "Mobile" component to the LAMP (Linux, Apache, MySQL, PHP) stack that allows you to extend your services to your mobile customers and employees?

Businesses Can't Hide From 2.0

Monday, September 01, 2008

Chrome?

That's the code name for the browser that Google are developing. Here's what I'm missing. Why is this a must have vs. a nice to have?

I have four browsers I use in the following order:

  1. Firefox 3.0 - everyday
  2. MSIE 8 beta 2 - testing and Microsoft centric sites
  3. Opera - surfing the web in heavy search mode. Delete all cookies when done
  4. Safari - Occasionally

The one that works all the time is Firefox. The next in line is MSIE. After that I don't really care.

Now why would I add a fifth?

What is going to be so special about Chrome that makes it a must have?